
2
Themonetarybaseandtheshort‐termnominalinterestrate
If,asintheUnitedStateseconomytoday,neithercomponentofthemonetarybasepays
interestorif,more generally,thecomponentsofthemonetarybasepayinterestatarate
that is below the market rate on other highly liquid assets such as short‐term
government bonds, then private agents’
demand for real base money M/P can be
describedasadecreasingfunctionoftheshort‐termnominalinterestratei:M/P=L(i).
ThisfunctionLsummarizeshow,asthenominalinterestraterises,otherhighlyliquid
assets become more attractive as short‐term stores of
value, providing stronger
incentives for households and firms to economize on their holdings of currency and
bankstoeconomizeontheirholdingsofreserves.Thus,whenthepricelevelPcannot
adjust fully intheshortrun, the central bank’s monopolisticcontroloverthe nominal
quantityofbasemoneyM
alsoallowsittoinfluencetheshort‐termnominalinterestrate
i, with a policy‐inducedincreaseinMleading to whatever decline in i isnecessaryto
make private agents willing to hold the additional volume of real base money and,
conversely,apolicy‐induceddecreaseinMleading
toariseini.Inthesimplestmodel
where changes in M represent the only source of uncertainty, the deterministic
relationship that links M and i implies that monetary policy actions can be described
equivalently in terms of their effects on either the monetary base or the short‐term
nominalinterestrate.
Poole’s (1970) analysis shows, however, that the economy’s response to random
shocksofotherkindscandependimportantlyonwhetherthecentralbankoperatesby
settingthenominalquantityofbasemoneyandthenallowingthemarkettodetermine
the short‐term nominal interestrate orby
setting the short‐term nominal interest rate
and then supplying whatever quantity of nominal base money is demanded at that
interest rate.More sp ecifically, Poole’s analysis reveals that central bank policy
insulatesoutputandpricesfromtheeffectsoflargeandunpredictabledisturbancesto
the money demand relationship by setting a
target for i rather than M.Perhaps
reflectingthewidespreadbeliefthatmoneydemandshocksarelargeandunpredictable,